Telekom Austria Group has submitted a conditional bid in the region of US$1.13-1.35 billion for the Serbian government’s planned sale of a 51% stake in the country’s incumbent operator, Telekom Srbija. The government however has set an unconditional minimum price of US$1.99 billion for a 51% stake.

If reports are to be believed, Telekom Austria is the only bidder for the stake in the company.

Telekom Austria Group added that the offer is, amongst others, also conditional to merger control clearance in Serbia resulting in a market consolidation. In addition, this offer is subject to negotiations with the government about certain value creating conditions that will result in an expected enterprise value/adjusted EBITDA 2011 multiple of approximately 4.8x.

Additionally, the Telekom Austria Group committed to capital expenditures of US$639.76 million within a three year horizon. These investments are part of the business plan which forms the basis of the above mentioned valuation.

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Fitch Ratings has placed the following AT&T, Inc. (AT&T) ratings on Rating Watch Negative:

–Long-Term Issuer Default Rating (IDR) ‘A’;

–Senior unsecured debt ‘A’;

–$5 billion four-year revolving credit facility ‘A’;

–$3 billion 364-day revolving credit facility ‘A’;

–Short-Term IDR ‘F1′;

–Commercial paper ‘F1′.

Fitch has also placed its ratings for AT&T’s subsidiaries on Rating Watch Negative. A full list of rating actions follows at the end of this release.

The actions reflect AT&T’s and Deutsche Telekom’s (DT) announcement of a definitive agreement whereby AT&T will acquire T-Mobile USA from DT in a cash and stock transaction valued at $39 billion. The cash portion of the transaction is $25 billion and will be financed with debt and cash on AT&T’s balance sheet. The remaining consideration will consist of AT&T common equity.

The rating action reflects Fitch’s need to assess the effect of the transaction on AT&T’s credit profile and capital structure, financing for the cash portion of the transaction, the proposed synergies anticipated, integration costs and the company’s future financial performance and prospective credit metrics. Fitch will also assess the potentially challenging regulatory hurdles to the transaction, which combine the second- and fourth-largest wireless carriers in the U.S. Regulatory review of the transaction may require divestitures of overlapping wireless assets, and in order to obtain approval for the transaction, AT&T has offered accelerated capital spending on high-speed wireless data services.

Fitch believes, pending final review of the transaction, that a downgrade, if necessary, would be limited to one notch. To maintain the current rating, Fitch would like to see a path for AT&T’s debt to EBITDA metric to be solidly within a 1.5 times (x) to 1.7x gross debt to EBITDA range appropriate for this rating category.

On a pro forma basis, AT&T’s 2010 leverage would have been 2.1x after considering $25 billion in additional debt and T-Mobile USA’s $5.5 billion of EBITDA in 2010, as well as the nearly $2 billion purchase of wireless spectrum from Qualcomm Inc. Leverage could be modestly higher or lower depending on the ultimate cash portion and the potential effects of divestitures. At year-end 2010, AT&T’s gross leverage was 1.7x on a stand-alone basis. AT&T will not assume any debt in the T-Mobile USA transaction.

To finance the cash portion of the transaction, AT&T has obtained a one-year unsecured bridge financing commitment for $20 billion from J.P. Morgan, although Fitch expects the company to enter the long-term debt markets for a portion of the transaction. With regard to the equity portion of the transaction, DT will have an 8% ownership interest in AT&T and a DT representative will join AT&T’s board of directors. AT&T may raise the cash portion of the transaction by up to $4.2 billion with an offsetting reduction in the equity consideration, but in no case would DT’s ownership stake be less than 5%.

AT&T indicates that the transaction will result in $3 billion of annual revenue and cost synergies three years following the close of the transaction. Fitch believes cost synergies, as well as avoided capital and spectrum expenditures, are highly likely to result from the transaction, and should be aided by the common, GSM-based technology platform. Revenue synergies, which the company believes will arise from increased smartphone penetration and increased data revenue per user, may arise, although Fitch’s analysis will discount such synergies.

On a current basis, liquidity is provided by cash and FCF, and additional financial flexibility is provided by availability on the company’s revolving credit facilities. At Dec. 31, 2010, total debt outstanding was approximately $66.2 billion, a decline from approximately $72.1 billion at the end of 2009. Of the total, $5.5 billion consists of long-term debt maturing within one year, including approximately $1 billion of debt that can be put to the company, and nearly $1.7 billion of commercial paper and bank borrowings. At Dec. 31, 2010, cash amounted to $1.4 billion, and in 2010 AT&T produced $4.8 billion in FCF (net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures and dividends). The company did not have any drawings on its revolving credit facility. In December 2010, AT&T entered into a new $5 billion four-year senior unsecured revolving credit facility and a $3 billion 364-day revolving credit facility. The facilities replaced a $9.465 billion facility that was to mature in July 2011. The principal financial covenant, which is only in the four-year agreement, requires debt to EBITDA, as defined in the agreement, to be no more than 3x.

For 2011, the company indicates FCF will grow from the $5 billion achieved in 2010, with lower capital spending contributing to growth. Per the company’s guidance, capital spending is expected to be in the low to mid $19 billion range, moderately less than the $20.3 billion spent in 2010. A major contributor to the decline in capital spending is the fact that AT&T will no longer capitalize interest on wireless spectrum that it will use to provide LTE service since the spectrum is being placed into service. Fitch believes reinforcing its strong competitive position in the wireless business and wireless fiber backhaul related spending will remain priorities of AT&T’s 2011 capital spending.

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China Mobile Corp has reported its full year results. As per the results, its full year revenues rose by 7.3% to US$73.8 billion, while net profit increased by 3.9% to US$18.2 billion.

The customer base rose by 11.8% to 584 million – a rise of 61.73 million over the previous year. Of the total, 20.70 million are using 3G services.

EBITDA rose 4.5% over last year to US$36.43 billion, with EBITDA margin reaching 49.3%.

In addition, voice usage volume continued to grow. Average minutes of usage per user per month (MOU) were 521 minutes, up by 5.4% over last year. Average revenue per user per month (ARPU) was US$11.10, exhibiting a slowdown in decline.

According to the company, it will accelerate the rollout of its TD-LTE network and will still consider suitable overseas acquisitions.

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MTC has revealed that it ended 2010 with a total 1.53 million active customers, an increase from 1.28 million compared to the previous year.

According to the company, revenues for the year were little changed due to the cuts in termination rates, while EBITDA improved to $785.8 million from $748 million in 2009.

Capex increased from $260 million to $410 million, almost half of which went to 3G network roll-out. The 3G investment helped data revenues grow 50% over the year, to 7.6% of total revenues by September 2010. Capex was higher than net profit for the year and a record for the company since its start.

MTC added that it was opposed to the regulator’s latest policy to cap off-net retail voice prices, stating that this is unprecedented for a regulator to intervene on retail prices. However, the company is positive on the country’s new communications law, which should allow it to gain a technology- and service-neutral licence.

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French telecommunications and entertainment conglomerate Vivendi is reportedly reluctant to pay Vodafone more than US$9.6 billion for its 44% stake in French operator SFR.

As per the analysts, at this price, SFR would be valued at US$29.1 billion, or 5.5 times its 2011 EBITDA, broadly in line with European telecom operators.

Analysts added that Vodafone investors who are seeking at least 6 times EBIDTA enterprise value for SFR, or US$9.33 billion will be disappointed with a US$9.6 billion sale price. The balance of power is skewed in Vivendi’s favor as it is the only likely buyer for the stake.

Talks between Vivendi and Vodafone also involve roaming conditions for Vodafone in France. Both groups’ CEOs have stated that in the past that they would not be forced into a deal at the wrong price.

 

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Brazilian telecommunications company, Tele Norte Leste Participacoes SA has reported a net profit of $172 million, reversing from a loss of US$360.72 million last year.

In the fourth quarter, the company reported net revenue of US$4.41 billion, decreased from US$4.58 billion in the fourth-quarter of 2009.

Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, (EBITDA), increased slightly to US$1.37 billion from US$1.33 billion.

Fixed-line customers fell to 20.02 million, lowered from 21.29 million in the fourth quarter of 2009. Fixed-line broadband customers rose to 4.35 million from 4.2 million and mobile customers were up to 39.3 million, from 36.1 million last year.

Zain Q4 net profit rises (Kuwait)

Kuwait’s Mobile Telecommunications Co. Zain stated that its 2010 net profit rose as the company added new subscribers and that it plans to double its net profit by 2014.

The subject of a nearly $12 billion takeover offer by U.A.E.’s biggest telecoms company Emirates Telecommunications Corp., Etisalat, said its net profit excluding a capital gain from selling its African assets rose to US$1.02 billion, compared with US$700.80 million a year earlier.

Net profit reached US$3.80 billion, including a capital gain of US$2.76 billion from the sale of Zain Africa assets on June 8, 2010.

According to Zain Group Chief Executive, Nabeel Bin Salamah, the company targets organic growth and more than doubling its net profit by 2014. To realize their business aspirations, they have devised an integrated strategy that will hopefully aid them, through organic growth, to reach 52 million customers, generate 6.3 billion in revenues, and increase earnings before interest taxes, depreciation and amortization to $3.4 billion– while improving the EBITDA margin to 53%-and more than double their net profit to $2.1 billion by 2014.

Zain stated that 2010 revenue reached US$5.03 billion, 7% increase from the year earlier. Zain added that its mobile customers stood at 37 million at the end of December, an increase of 23% from the same period a year earlier.

French fixed line, broadband and mobile services provider Bouygues Telecom has announced that its sales rose 5% year-on-year to US$7.786 billion in 2010 and sales from network services increased by 4% at US$7.01 billion.

The telco added that excluding the impact of the cut in voice and SMS call termination rates, sales from network services would have climbed by 14% year-on-year.

According to Bouygues, in 2010, it successfully offset the effect of reduced call termination rate differentials and higher taxes, with EBITDA rising 2% y-o-y to US$1.88 billion, although net profit fell 6% to US$615.29 million, reflecting higher amortization charges mainly linked to commercial success in the fixed broadband segment.

Bouygues Telecom added 842,000 net new mobile contract customers in 2010, representing 23% of net market growth for the segment. The telco had a total of 11.084 million mobile customers as at 31 December 2010, 79% of them on a monthly call plan, increased by 2.5 percentage points over the year.

In addition, strong growth continued in the fixed broadband business, with 154,000 new customers signing up in the fourth quarter of 2010, and 494,000 over the year as a whole, giving the operator a total of 808,000 fixed broadband customers at the year end.

 

­French mobile network operator, SFR – a joint venture between Vodafone and Vivendi – has reported a 1.2% rise in its full-year revenues for 2010 to US$3.57 billion. Excluding the regulated price cut impacts, revenues increased by 5.8%.

Mobile revenues reached US$3 billion, a 0.2% increase compared to the first quarter of 2009. Mobile service revenues  decreased by 1.2% to US$ 2.86 billion. Excluding the impact of the 31% mobile voice termination regulated price cut made as of July 1, 2009 and of the 33% SMS voice termination regulated price cut made as of February 1, 2010, mobile service revenues increased by 4.3%.

In 2010, SFR added almost 1.29 million new postpaid net adds, in particular due to the success of smartphones and offers including an Internet remote access. 28% of SFR customers were equipped with a smartphone at the end of December 2010 (compared to 15% at end of 2009) allowing a data revenue growth of 16% in 2010. At the end of 2010, SFR’s postpaid mobile customer base reached 16.095 million, improving the customer mix by 3.0 percentage point’s year-on-year to attain 75.6%.

SFR’s total mobile customer base reached 21.303 million.

SFR’s EBITDA was US$5.46 billion, a 0.2% increase compared to 2009. This growth included US$79.79 million of non- recurring (“non-cash”) items related to the termination of some of SFR’s fixed network indefeasible right of use (IRU) by third parties.

Vodafone is widely expected to sell its 44% stake in SFR in the near future to Vivendi.

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Telekom Malaysia has reported its Q4 results. As per the results, the company posted revenues of US$2.9 billion in 2010, as compared to US$2.83 billion twelve months ago.

According to the company, much of the growth was due to the increasing demand for internet and data services: sales from its internet unit were increased by 5.9% year-on-year to US$559.63 million.

Net income soared 88% to US$395.03 million, partly increased by the sale of stakes in a number of affiliated companies. In its outlook for 2011, the company stated that it was targeting revenue growth of 2.5%, and an EBITDA margin of 32%, decreased slightly from 33.1% recorded in 2010 and 34% posted in 2009.

CAPEX in 2011 is expected to reach US$987.58 billion as the company continues the launch of ‘HSBB’, its high speed broadband network.

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