A new analytical report has revealed that the social and political chaos in the developing countries of the Middle East and North Africa is having a short-term troublesome effect on mobile communications markets, but still projects steady growth in subscriptions and revenues for the region. The latest report forecasts that mobile subscriptions continue to grow at an average rate of 3.5% per year through 2015.
As per the report, the current unrest could even drive demand for communications services, particularly mobile social networking. It is easy to exaggerate the extent to which these are ‘Facebook Revolutions,’ but the fact is that social networking will become an even more critical communications tool as the result of current events.
In the short term, Analysis sees the potential for disruption to operator financing, noting that Mobinil in Egypt has deferred making a scheduled dividend payment. Additionally, the new Tunisian government has seized the assets of France Telecom’s local partner in Orange Tunisie.
